“[...] should remember that the connection between climate change and Islamic State - and more broadly, between climate change and political instability - is not just a coincidence. It may instead be the key reality of the 21st century.
Think now of a world in which the population under age 24 in Africa has increased by 500 million people, and the populations of Syria, Afghanistan, Iraq, Palestine, and Yemen have increased by over 100 million people. That is the UN's projection for 2050. Add to this mix a combination of severe droughts, devastating floods, crop failures, and massive migrations that create collisions and heightened competition among ethnic and religious groups struggling for land, resources and incomes. Then think of how the governments of these regions could and would respond to such crises, and whether Europe and other safe havens could absorb even a tiny fraction of the resulting refugees. If such a world exists one day, the current crisis in Syria and the actions of IS terrorists may be multiplied many fold.”
A few highlights:
Next to the military interventions and diplomatic negotiations we need a civil offensive to create change.
Technically speaking it takes 2 to 5 years to turn a barren area into valuable green area providing water, micro-climate, agricultural crops, feed and food, trees, shelter, biodiversity and other ecosystem services.
The role view of men as custodian of prosperity instead of being fighters for religion or tribe can be strengthened by having economic success.
We have to arrange our work alongside a long term vision and at the same we have to work on short term success and results to win the hearts and the minds of the people.
As Europeans, being the neighbors of an important part of MENA, we can offer our help, partnership, knowledge and organizational skills. We have to respond to the threatening situation of terrorism by supporting development and strengthen the social and economic situation of the people in their and our interest.
Agnes Dinkelman was spreker op de Future Force Conference. Ze sprak over een integrale aanpak van complexe dreiging op het snijvlak van migratie, klimaat en conflict. Bedreigingen in Nederland en de wereld worden steeds complexer. Militair optreden alleen is niet de oplossing. Maar wat dan wel?
Op uitnodiging van Defensie kwamen nationale en internationale experts en organisaties bijeen om daarover te praten. Dat gebeurde op 9 en 10 februari 2017 tijdens de Future Force Conference (FFC) in Den Haag.